Growth outlook for Africa
If you [look at] macroeconomics, it’s no longer one or two countries driving the continent’s growth. That versatility has started to come through, which they didn’t have earlier. The continent is currently growing at about 3.5% and that will go up… The governments in Africa realize the economies have to transform into digital economies, and there’s a tectonic shift taking place [in sectors] from manufacturing to services. The continent [will continue to] leapfrog into new tech, not just in payments; it will do well in tourism too, and the SME sector.
[Besides talk on] inclusion, I think access is also most important. So, if I get included, what access do I have to funding, better services, convenience and affordable products? Mobile money is big in Africa, but if you really look at the core – and I don’t think the continent is fully covered in terms of internet and mobile penetration – the per capita cost of providing these services in Africa is higher than the rest of the world. I think there are too many closed loop ecosystems that exist in Africa. You need to have open borders and open economies. And the scale will never happen in a single country. The scale can happen, and that’s why the versatility of having 10 countries have that growth rate is far more exciting than having one country that gives you double the growth rate. I feel the reason mobile phones became cheaper is when telcos (telecom companies) became interoperable between themselves, and that’s a huge learning. But I don’t see that being played out [across] the continent. I think creating broader ecosystems is the way to go.
The tourism sector will do well, and that’s not just for African tourists within the continent, it’s also for international tourists to come through. The one thing the pandemic taught us is people now value experiences more than [just] the physicality of experiences. Africa can give you that. But to do that, if you are sitting in Iceland and want to go to Kenya, how do you plan something that is customized for you? Digitization will help if you’re part of an included economy.
Agriculture is also going to be very big. Mastercard’s Farm Pass app is a solution that was born in Africa and exported to the rest of the world, including to India. Also significant is the work we do in education and using crowdfunding to actually get children educated.
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Mastercard has been operating in Africa for almost 50 years, and now has 13 offices across the continent.
The consumer of the future
The consumer of the future is every single person. You almost have to go back to classic marketing 101, that the best marketing campaign is customized or tailored to an individual. When you look at your phone, you feel you’re almost there with your customization, but I don’t think you’re fully there. I feel the whole world will turn on its head, and the consumer will become king or queen. Open, enabling ecosystems that allow people to participate fairly is when innovation comes and you can empower everybody. The other dramatic thing for you to think through is that so many companies and industries are putting billions of dollars into digitization, but look at what they’re creating. They say ‘if you come into my digital environment, I’ll give you the best possible digital experience’. But you know what? I’m not just a consumer of a single firm. I am a consumer of the grocery store down the corner. I’m a consumer of an airline. I’m a consumer of a hotel. I’m a consumer of tea, coffee. I am a consumer of the bank. Are you going to make me go into 62 different environments? I feel that’s where it will change. You will now start to have a consumer who will have a digital interface, and then basically say, ‘I need coffee and you interface with me with your APIs, and it’s not me interfacing with you’. I know this sounds far-fetched, but I see a world like that. That’s disruption, that’s power, that’s inclusion.
Every industry will want to come to you and want your business. I think the consumer of tomorrow will not classically be segmented as affluent, super-affluent, middle income etc. It’s down to every single segment, and it’s customized up to it. I think consumers will have more power than ever before. That’s true empowerment. And the whole ecosystem helps them deliver that. By the way, we are only talking about this from the consumer side. I see that on the government side as well. In the end, I’m a citizen, and governments have to give me better services. And I can see how that can come through. I consume utilities, I can see how utility companies come to me, and so on. So, the world of tomorrow is really about the consumers and how they will be at the center of how things are made for them, customized perfectly to what they want.
Uptake of new technologies and innovations by various African governments
The good news is that pretty much every government official, minister or policymaker understands the importance of digitization and financial inclusion. They get it. The question then is, how well-versed are they about the world of today versus the world of tomorrow? If you’re making policies for today, then you’re going to miss out on the future. I’m not saying that’s an issue, but that’s an area that requires a little more embellishment, in terms of knowledge structure, and thinking through the implications for the wider ecosystem in the economy. I do agree that governments have to create digital infrastructure but my question is if that’s the only way, or can you do this in a partnership? If not in partnership, you start to create single points of failures as well, especially with all of the cyber security [issues] etc. But by and large, governments are amiable to having the dialogue.
Collaboration with fintechs
Earlier this year, we signed a multi-market agreement with MTN Group Fintech that will set in motion a new era of collaboration to connect millions of people and small businesses across Africa with digital tools such as virtual cards, to transact through secure mobile payments, expanding access to the benefits of the cashless digital economy.
What we have is partnerships on the one side with fintechs. Mastercard Start Path supports and invests in several African fintech companies (such as Paycode, Ukheshe and Karri) to scale and grow. [All of this] allows us to play in different parts of the value chain. This also is testimony to the way we work. We are about partnerships and enabling ecosystems, because we sometimes don’t want to do everything ourselves; we see somebody else do it, and are like, ‘oh, this person does this stuff very well’, so, it becomes a mini ecosystem [through] that partnership model. That’s our DNA.
I think the intent is no longer an issue. The question is, how do you do it at scale and at an economics that makes sense. I think that’s the part where most people are struggling. And that’s why it requires a new approach to how you do it. And it has to be sustainable.
As a forecaster, view of the future
I am very privileged to get access to information and the people I talk to… But if you were exposed to all of that, you would probably make similar predictions, walking the talk every day. It’s just as simple as that. As you get more experienced, you also start to think differently about the world of the future and what role you want to play. Nobody will ever remember you for the seniormost rank you had in a corporate, people remember you for how you enable other people, ecosystems, and lay foundations for the growth for others.
I actually do feel that in our lifetime, our mortality rate will improve by at least 15 years. I see the smartest people will proactively reinvent themselves [for that]. The way you spend your time and how you create value will be different. This will be a very big trend.
Big growth markets in Africa
The space of payments and finance is obviously big. The tourism industry is going to be very big in the future, because, after the pandemic, a lot of people realize life’s not just about the material things, it’s about being human, it’s about the experiences we have. Africa is unspoiled, it has nature, and that’s what people want to connect with. The third sector is going to be agriculture, with Africa’s large land banks. There is so much opportunity to actually have better efficiency of crop production and the supply chain to the rest of the world.
What makes a standout leader
You have to be really results-oriented, analytical and in tune with your business environment. But what makes a really good business leader and good person is somebody who knows to balance their heart and mind. Somebody recently told me that the mind is a humble servant of the heart and not the other way around. And it was a really profound statement for me, but if I really look back and think of how great decisions get taken, it’s not the mind. It’s actually when you make your mind do what your heart really thinks is the right thing to do.
Your personal leadership style
I am results-oriented, so my style is [reaching] a desired outcome which is for the greater good, and it doesn’t always mean economic profit. Then you start thinking about your team, business environment, adaptability, flexibility… And I would add one other thing – resilience. A lot of times, it’s hard out there, and I think being resilient is something that has actually stood by me in good times and bad times.
Building an entrepreneurial mindset
It’s a bit of hard work and a little bit of luck, and experience matters. As you get more information, your mind starts to process the complexity of all of that. You look at the business environment, you start to look for trends and changes around that. And then you start to create an informal framework in your head that starts to analyze these things. It’s a little hard in the beginning, but over the years, that comes very naturally, because you’ve started to get the subtleties and insights in even simple sentences. And that shows you what the world needs, whether it’s a consumer or a customer or the business environment. And I think that is what gets you to an entrepreneurial mindset. The second thing is openness to change, openness to new things, and the ability to clench your teeth and hunker down when the going is really tough, and having the mental will to power through that time, because that’s what great entrepreneurs do.
The technology to come that you’re most excited about
I don’t know whether I’m excited about another gadget or another technology. What I’m excited about is how ecosystems are being built and that what we need as an enabling layer is finally coming together. I was joking with somebody the other day about the Internet of Things from five years ago. Nobody talks about that now. They talk about generative AI. What I’m excited about is I actually feel we now have the technology enablement that will allow all of these things to become bigger. In other words, there will be even more innovation, and probably a new gadget will come, or a new technology will come, but what I’m excited about today is the fact that we actually have the infrastructure that will allow for all of these things to take place. Because earlier, this was conceptual. Today, this can become a reality.
Plans for the next five years…
I think [I will be] reinventing myself to create foundations and being involved with how the future looks. Retirement is a relative term. I have taken a personal pledge to help 100 million SMEs and 500 million people, but I don’t want to do this as a CSR exercise. I want to actually create a model that allows that. I also have a vision where even if you’re an entrepreneur and creating immense wealth, that wealth has to be shared in different countries, wherever you operate. I don’t have precise plans for each of them, but broadly, [I know] how that will work.
The answer is, [my plans] will be in AI for sure. I’ve started to kind of think about those things: it’s definitely about helping governments and industries who are creating digital infrastructure in a more inclusive way; about helping people create open ecosystems, in other words, creating foundations that allow for betterment. And lastly, giving back, and being available to people for pro bono work. I don’t think there’s a paucity of capital. I think the issue is, how do you take that quality capital and deploy it in the best possible way? I’m grateful and privileged for what Mastercard has given me, but I am taking that knowledge and helping SMEs, and [creating] more equitable systems and better convenience for citizens. I see all of that in the future.
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